Historical Context
The practice of intervening in foreign exchange markets dates back to the early 20th century. Initially, central banks of major economies began using their reserves to manage and stabilize their currencies. Key historical events include the post-World War II Bretton Woods system and the Plaza Accord of 1985, which was an agreement among major economies to manipulate exchange rates through coordinated intervention.
Types of Intervention
There are two primary types of foreign exchange market interventions:
Unsterilized Intervention
- Definition: This type involves central banks buying or selling foreign currency without offsetting the domestic money supply.
- Mechanism: When a central bank buys foreign currency, it increases the domestic money supply; selling foreign currency decreases it.
Sterilized Intervention
- Definition: This involves actions to neutralize the impact on the domestic money supply.
- Mechanism: The central bank will counterbalance its foreign exchange transactions by buying or selling securities, thereby keeping the money supply constant.
Key Events in Foreign Exchange Interventions
- Bretton Woods Agreement (1944): Established a system of fixed exchange rates and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
- Plaza Accord (1985): Major economic powers, including the US, Japan, Germany, France, and the UK, agreed to intervene jointly to devalue the US dollar against the Japanese yen and German Deutsche mark.
Detailed Explanations
Interventions can be understood through models and frameworks:
Monetary Models
- Equation:$$ \text{Money Supply} = \text{Currency in Circulation} + \text{Deposits} $$
- Impact on Exchange Rates: An increase in money supply typically leads to currency depreciation, and a decrease results in currency appreciation.
Charts and Diagrams
graph TD;
A[Central Bank Intervention] --> B{Type}
B --> C[Unsterilized]
B --> D[Sterilized]
C --> E[Impacts Money Supply]
D --> F[Neutralizes Money Supply]
Importance and Applicability
Foreign exchange market interventions are critical for:
- Stabilizing Financial Markets: Preventing excessive volatility.
- Achieving Economic Objectives: Such as controlling inflation and promoting exports.
- Maintaining Competitive Exchange Rates: Benefiting trade balance.
Examples
- Japan (2011): Unilateral intervention to weaken the yen after it reached record highs.
- Switzerland (2015): Abrupt removal of the Swiss franc’s peg to the euro, causing significant market turbulence.
Considerations
- Market Reactions: Interventions can sometimes lead to speculative attacks.
- Coordination with Other Policies: Effective intervention often requires alignment with fiscal and other monetary policies.
Related Terms
- Sterilization: Techniques to counteract the impact of forex interventions on the domestic money supply.
- Foreign Reserves: Assets held by central banks to back their liabilities and influence monetary policy.
Comparisons
- Sterilized vs. Unsterilized: Unsterilized interventions affect the domestic money supply, while sterilized interventions are neutralized.
Interesting Facts
- Central banks can use derivatives like futures and options for indirect interventions.
- The largest single-day intervention occurred by the Bank of Japan, exceeding $25 billion in 2004.
Inspirational Stories
The 1985 Plaza Accord is often cited as a testament to the power of coordinated intervention among major economies to achieve desired economic outcomes.
Famous Quotes
- Milton Friedman: “A government which seeks to maintain an unrealistic exchange rate will find itself at the mercy of the markets.”
Proverbs and Clichés
- “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket” – pertinent for diversifying foreign reserves.
- “Strike while the iron is hot” – relevant in the timely execution of forex interventions.
Jargon and Slang
- Peg: Fixing a currency’s value to another.
- Devaluation: Reducing the value of a currency relative to others.
FAQs
Q: Why do central banks intervene in foreign exchange markets? A: To stabilize or increase the competitiveness of their economy.
Q: What is the difference between sterilized and unsterilized intervention? A: Sterilized intervention neutralizes the impact on the domestic money supply; unsterilized does not.
References
- Obstfeld, Maurice, and Kenneth Rogoff (1995). “The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates.” Journal of Economic Perspectives.
- Eichengreen, Barry (1996). “Globalizing Capital: A History of the International Monetary System.”
Final Summary
Intervention in foreign exchange markets is a critical tool used by central banks to influence their currency’s exchange rate. Understanding the types, mechanisms, and historical context provides insight into their complex role in global economics. Whether through unsterilized or sterilized means, these interventions have significant implications for the global financial system, impacting everything from inflation to trade balances.
